3000m
Good news, there should only be one heat.
Projected Heat:
1 Gil, North Allegheny 8:36.60B
2 Trainer, LaSalle 8:50.20
3 Hartzel, Cumberland Valley 8:52.42B
4 Sileniks, North Hills 9:32.xxB @3200m
5 Greth, Exeter 8:57.89
6 McGowan, Lower Merion 8:58.28
7 Degregirio, Baldwin 8:57.73B
8 Izewski, CB East 8:58.55
9 Steiner, North Allegheny 8:58.15B
10 Koliso, Glenn Mills 8:58.44B
11 Groff, Hempfield 8:59.77
12 Fadale, Selinsgrove 8:59.78
13 Wilkinson, Valley View 9:00.21
Gil is a big favorite but I am not sure I see him pushing the pace early in this race, especially with the DMR late in the day for his team. Most of the other heavy hitters in the race sit back early on like Trainer and McGowan. I think Hartzel will probably dictate pace early with Groff, Fadale, Izewski and Koliso up in the mix as well. Hopefully, Juris and Trainer will be on Gil’s shoulder when he decides to make a move during the race otherwise Gil may get too much of a cushion. I am nervous to pick anyone who ran the 3k last week for a top spot in this week’s race because I feel running too excellent 3ks in two weeks in a row is a very tough job to do. I have Gil winning, I think he has more speed than Trainer and more strength, plus he knows how to win. I do see Trainer having a breakout race and finishing second. Somewhere around 8:33 for Gil, 8:37ish for Trainer. Then I have Juris finishing in third, although I haven’t seen too many results on him I know he has the talent to run quick, probably around low 8:40s. From here I am not too enamored with anyone in the rest of the field, but I am going to with Greth for third and Hartzel for fourth. I have seen a lot more of Greth than I have of Hartzel this season, and I feel Greth has experience winning big races (MoCs last year) as well as placing highly in races with good competition (12th at XC States). For the next spots I will pick Fadale over Groff, most likely again a close finish somewhere in the low 8:50s. I’ll take Izewski for 7th, although he raced the 3k last week, I feel like he performs well at the state meet and maybe will get some good advice from his brother. 8th is a tough pick but I’ll go Steiner by a nose over Wilkinson both in the mid 8:50s range.
Gil runs away with this one. no one in this race is even close to his fitness level. if he wanted to, he could blow this thing open with something under 8:30
ReplyDeleteGil, Trainer, Izewski, Greth, Hartzel, Wilkinson, McGowan, Koliso... a little off but you didnt do to bad with the prediction
ReplyDeleteAnyone know where Tom Trainer will be going to college? His dad is an administrator at Villanova, so I assumed he'd go there, but I have not seen anything definitive.
ReplyDelete