Chestmont Championships 10/19
I don't know if you've heard but Henderson is pretty good this year. The team now has a pair of victories over some of New Jersey's best teams. As a result, they will have a big target on their back from teams like West Chester East, Great Valley and Downingtown West who will all look to prove they are close enough to Henderson to gain confidence they can make states in a week at Lehigh. West Chester East has been great this year and will be the team to beat for 2nd, however Great Valley has come on strong as of late and really had their breakout race at this meet a year ago. In the individual battle, Russell and Barchet should dominate the race out front. Steadman, Cummings, and Diestelow are the big names who can break up a potential Henderson sweep out front. In the next group are a bunch of sleeper picks to qualify for states as individuals as well as some solid runners like Leidal and Yannacone. It will be interesting to see what guys Henderson has coming back to full strength like Haugh who was 2nd at this meet a year ago to Ned Willig.
SOL American 10/19
The SOL American loses 3 time champion Drew Magaha and in his place steps UD's Francis Ferruzzi. Ferruzzi is undefeated in dual meets this year but showed some signs of weakness at William Tennent after some sickness. Ferruzzi will look to lead his UD team to a title as well, but Upper Merion is the team title favorites after their narrow dual meet victory over UD earlier this year. It is going to be a tight team race top to bottom. Watch out for Cooper from Upper Merion and the Marcelis brothers from Wissahickon to have break out performances. There is also a lot of potential for Williamson from UD to step up. The team needs him if they are going to win team gold.
SOL Continental 10/19
Conner Quinn, the defending state and league champion, has had a bit of a rocky start to the season, but will look to redeem himself at Lehigh. His main rival will be Jack Macauley, coming off a big performance in Delaware. Alec Brand of CB East will look to assert himself among the Districts elite as well in this field. The sleeper pick is Chris Berry who has come on strong in recent weeks and should benefit from Lehigh's fast footing. So too should Joey Logue of Pennridge, a deep sleeper in the race. Connor Linse is also a name to remember. North Penn, defending state champions, will look to hold their league title crown another year behind Macauley out front. They will need their pack to start to step it up if they are going to make a serious state run again.
SOL National 10/19
Pennsbury and CRN will dual it out yet again as CRN feels they have something big to prove, being off the rankings for a number of weeks now. The key will be if Pennsbury can bounce back after a rough NJ weekend and put their pack ahead of CRN's 4-5 guys who will look to take the next step this weekend as well. Connor Harriman and Sam Webb will face off against the big 3 from CRN that includes Mac Emery and Ross Wilson. Kyle Francis and Brad Rivera from Bensalem will mix it up with those boys as well, both coming off great William Tennent races.
MAC EMERY
ReplyDeleteThe Chesmont league is ridiculously deep this year.
ReplyDeleteChesmont is pretty deep, but the SOL National race to tomorrow will be the most exciting, no doubt about it
ReplyDeleteDwest, WCE & GV all have a very legitimate shot at making States this year and they're racing for second to WCH at Chesmonts. That's deep, no other conference can match it.
ReplyDeleteThe Chesmont League was ridiculously deep in 2005: http://runhigh.com/2005%20Results%20B/R102805AO.html
ReplyDeleteI think GV will do really well, wouldn't be surprised if Garrett Zatlin had a breakout race.
ReplyDelete--ForrestCRN
As for the DTW, WCE, and GV comment about all having a shot for states, I'd say about 2 or two of them make it. SOL National is also very deep this year. 2 teams making it to states most likely along with guys like Rivera and Francis running well. (Chesmonts is definently deeper though).
All three do have a good chance but I agree probably only two of them will make it, just don't know which two.
DeleteWCE has a strong top 5 but then a bit of drop off, if one guy has an off day it's probably not them. Dwest and GV both have a quality 5-9 runners.
My guess is WCE and Dwest, but GV certainly cannot be ruled out.
GV always comes through during championship season. I heard they were only down 2 points to WCE today, and wouldn't be surprised if they beat them at districts by a hair. It'll definently be close again. I think those three Chesmont teams are about 10 to 15 points ahead of PB at this point.
Delete--ForrestCRN
MAC EMERY
ReplyDeleteEtrain, nice call on N/A's winning total. What's your prediction on Henderson tomorrow and who are your Chesmont sleeper picks?
ReplyDeleteif i had to guess i'd say like 36ish for henderson, but after my luck with NA that will probably end up being off ... I think that the field is much better this year, but so is Henderson. Russell and Barchet out front should get this team a nice pair of low sticks to start it off. It's going to be a matter of how low the other 3 can score among a crowded next group ...
Deleteas for sleepers, i'm high on all of great valley's guys this week as i expect some big breakouts ... zatlin would probably be the main name to watch it looks like ...
on the deeper sleeper side i'd go with guys like:
Chris Coates from Rustin
Evan Jones from Kennent
Ryan Mucha from DTWest
I'm also very high on Diestelow (spelling probably off my b) but I don't count him as much of a sleeper
Dan Foster from Avon Grove
DeleteRimkiss from Henderson has been a surprise steady #3 for them all year.
DeleteBased on Chesmont results, a WCH WCE duel meet would have resulted in 24-31 Henderson. That's a lot closer than at their actual duel meet earlier this season
ReplyDeleteYeah, but Rimkiss and Collins didn't run today for WCH.
DeleteSorry, but the dual meet season is over.
DeleteLooking at the combined results for the Suburban One leagues and Ches-Monts, I'd have to say Henderson is clearly the best team at distrcits. There spread of 54 seconds is pretty solid since they have two great front runners. I did expect better from their pack though, but I think they'll race better at distrcits. As for WCE, GV, and DTW, I think GV is in the best position to take 3rd at distrcits. They raced well as a team there last year, and they've got really good depth. Willig won his race and probably could have gone faster had he been pushed. WCE is probably a bit better than PB and they should take 4th, and I think PB takes 5th at districts. (Especially since we all know DTW is focusing to peak at Regionals and Nationals :p)
ReplyDeleteAs for the Suburban One results CRN ran pretty solid. I did expect more out of the 4-7 runners, but they're still not close to peaking and I'm expecting 16:30 or faster out of the two sophs. They both have a lot of potential left. Zingarini got caught in no-mans-land, and should be up for a big performance at districts. Expect Harriman to bounce back for a top 5 performance at districts to help lead his team to states. But the biggest thing is Conner Quinn. I was telling Train the other day that he and Jaskowak always show up at championship season, and they both did in big ways these past 2 days. Hopefully Quinn can keep it rolling and run well at districts. I think 15:15 or faster for 3 to 5 guys at districts. Wouldn't be surprised if Russell, Barchett, Quinn, Wilson, and Emery really push the pace for some fast times (if the weather permits).
Good luck to everyone in their respective District races next week!
--ForrestCRN
P.S. (if you liked this slight analysis, I'd gladly post one for Tri-States, just let me know). Obviously Train is much better than I.
Sorry about that guys, not much of a grammar freak. And didn't know they ran the divisions together, assumed they didn't since they separate league results and it says combined results.
DeleteIf you're going to call me out on being an idiot on this blog though post your name. Don't mind being corrected, but don't use profanity under and Anonymous name.
Thanks,
--ForrestCRN
Tough crowd, Forrest. Maybe they had a bad day out there in the mud.
DeleteForrest my name is MAC EMERY
DeleteI appreciate your insight, Forrest. They are the idiots. Thank you!
DeleteThat third comment about being unliked is really out of line.
DeleteNice job forrest. You shouldnt let one nasty person affect you. D1 is going to be competitive. I would put mccauley in the mix. Np 4th place puts them in jeopary of not making the states since 06. I think gv gabs the last spot. Wch, wce, crn, pb, gv in that order.
ReplyDeleteTo be honest, I still need to see more out of WCE to put them ahead of CRN. They're beaten teams that are around top 10 in the state, but I think they're a bit behind CRN at the point. Obviously we'll find out at districts. Hopefully the course dry's up a bit, so we can see some fast times. I agree that McCauley will have a ocme back week. I hope Molloy and Grace start racing well though, they were both 15 to 20 seconds faster at this time last year. Not really sure what's happened. I just expected WCE to be a bit close to Henderson, especially since Rimkis didn't race.
DeleteDoes anyone know if Rimkis and Collins are alright? I'm assuming we'll see them back in the line up with Haugh and Stratman next week. Looking to see all 4 will between 16:15-16:30
--ForrestCRN
Rimkis and Collins are both 100%
DeleteO'Hara is pretty much unbeatable.
DeleteSay, ForrestCRN, are you by any chance biased towards CRN?
DeleteI have already addressed that statement in a previous post.
DeleteAnd unless O'Hara has a 5th guy step up, they are beatable right now in my opinion.
--ForrestCRN
What r u talking about Ohara has a solid 5 and 6
ReplyDelete